Lleida vs Celta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.4%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
56.2%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
10%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
17.3%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lleida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2005 |
MUR
1 - 0
LLE
61%
23%
16%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2005 |
LLE
2 - 3
REC
37%
29%
34%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2005 |
SPO
1 - 1
LLE
64%
22%
14%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2005 |
LLE
2 - 0
GIM
46%
27%
27%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2005 |
ALM
1 - 1
LLE
56%
24%
20%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2005 |
CEL
1 - 2
EIB
67%
21%
12%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2005 |
XER
1 - 3
CEL
25%
26%
49%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2005 |
CEL
2 - 1
TER
74%
18%
8%
|
86 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2005 |
PON
3 - 1
CEL
22%
23%
55%
|
86 | 64 | 22 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2005 |
CEL
0 - 1
CIU
72%
19%
10%
|
86 | 68 | 18 | 0 |