Castelldefels vs Guineueta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.6%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.8%
9.7%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castelldefels
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
FCA
1 - 3
CAS
19%
23%
57%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
CAS
2 - 1
GRA
34%
26%
40%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
SCR
3 - 1
CAS
46%
25%
29%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
CAS
2 - 0
MAF
31%
27%
42%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | +3 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
GIR
1 - 0
CAS
69%
19%
12%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Guineueta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
GUI
1 - 4
OLO
8%
21%
71%
|
20 | 52 | 32 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
VIL
2 - 0
GUI
76%
16%
8%
|
20 | 37 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
GUI
1 - 2
SAN
27%
25%
48%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
UES
3 - 0
GUI
77%
16%
7%
|
21 | 39 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
GUI
0 - 1
HOS
14%
20%
66%
|
21 | 39 | 18 | 0 |