Castelldefels vs Girona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.9%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
52%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castelldefels
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
CAS
1 - 1
LLE
29%
28%
42%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
VIJ
1 - 1
CAS
58%
24%
18%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2008 |
CAS
1 - 2
DEN
34%
27%
39%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
ALI
2 - 0
CAS
67%
21%
12%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2008 |
CAS
2 - 2
GAV
39%
28%
34%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Girona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
GIR
0 - 1
VIL
70%
19%
11%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
LLE
0 - 1
GIR
37%
27%
37%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2008 |
GIR
4 - 2
RCD
61%
22%
17%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
VIJ
1 - 1
GIR
29%
27%
44%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2008 |
GIR
0 - 3
ORI
63%
23%
14%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | -1 |