Alaquas I Walter A vs Villena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.4%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
19.9%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-41%
+89%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alaquas I Walter A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 1995 |
NOV
1 - 0
ALA
57%
25%
18%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1995 |
ALA
0 - 0
JAV
67%
21%
11%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1995 |
SDS
0 - 0
ALA
57%
24%
19%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1995 |
ALA
0 - 4
LLI
32%
27%
41%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | -2 |
| 19 Mar. 1995 |
GAN
0 - 0
ALA
67%
21%
12%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Villena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 1995 |
VIL
1 - 0
HOR
83%
12%
5%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1995 |
VIL
0 - 1
NOV
48%
26%
27%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 1995 |
JAV
0 - 1
VIL
41%
28%
31%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 1995 |
VIL
2 - 1
SDS
46%
27%
27%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 1995 |
LLI
3 - 0
VIL
79%
14%
7%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | -1 |