Kurilovec vs NK Zelina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.1%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
20.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
3º
17º
10º
29
10º
18º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 64 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
49 | 49 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
47 | 47 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
47 | 47 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
47 | 47 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
47 | 47 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
46 | 46 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
45 | 45 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
45 | 45 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
44 | 44 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
40 | 40 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
32 | 32 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
|
17º
|
29 | 29 |
17º
|
0% | |
|
18º
|
26 | 29 |
18º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kurilovec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
SEG
2 - 1
NUK
54%
21%
24%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
NUK
2 - 1
ZAG
19%
20%
61%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | +2 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
MAK
5 - 0
NUK
67%
18%
15%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
NUK
2 - 1
VRA
24%
23%
54%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | +3 |
| 04 Oct. 2023 |
NGM
2 - 1
NUK
52%
22%
26%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
NK Zelina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
NKZ
2 - 2
PON
28%
23%
49%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
NMP
2 - 0
NKZ
52%
21%
27%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
NKZ
4 - 1
NKT
69%
17%
14%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
TRE
4 - 3
NKZ
66%
18%
16%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2023 |
NKZ
1 - 2
HAS
38%
25%
37%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | -1 |