Kurilovec vs Sava Strmec analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
87.3%
Win probability
3.12
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3.3%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.2%
5-0
6.4%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.4%
4-0
10.2%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.1%
3-0
13.2%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.6%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
9.1%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
9.1%
3.6%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
2º
14º
11º
44
8º
18º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
87 | 87 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 65 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
58 | 59 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 53 |
5º
|
58.5% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 52 |
6º
|
58.5% | |
|
7º
|
47 | 47 |
7º
|
60% | |
|
|
9º
|
44 | 47 |
8º
|
45.5% | |
|
8º
|
46 | 46 |
9º
|
66% | |
|
10º
|
42 | 42 |
10º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
40 | 41 |
11º
|
8.5% | |
|
12º
|
40 | 41 |
12º
|
29% | |
|
13º
|
40 | 41 |
13º
|
31% | |
|
14º
|
38 | 38 |
14º
|
67.5% | |
|
15º
|
37 | 37 |
15º
|
67.5% | |
|
16º
|
36 | 37 |
16º
|
67.5% | |
|
17º
|
36 | 36 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
24 | 24 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kurilovec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2022 |
NUK
4 - 2
DOO
60%
20%
21%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
LKV
0 - 0
NUK
29%
22%
50%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
NUK
1 - 0
HAS
50%
23%
27%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
NUK
3 - 1
VRB
33%
24%
43%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | +2 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
TRE
4 - 0
NUK
37%
22%
42%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Sava Strmec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2022 |
LKV
0 - 1
STR
85%
11%
5%
|
13 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
HAS
3 - 1
STR
88%
8%
3%
|
13 | 30 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
STR
4 - 6
NBB
28%
21%
51%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
NMP
2 - 1
STR
85%
10%
5%
|
14 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2018 |
MEI
5 - 0
STR
88%
8%
4%
|
13 | 49 | 36 | +1 |