Kurilovec vs Mladost Petrinja analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.2%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
35.4%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
2º
14º
11º
36
6º
17º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
87 | 87 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 65 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
58 | 59 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 53 |
5º
|
58.5% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 52 |
6º
|
58.5% | |
|
7º
|
47 | 47 |
7º
|
60% | |
|
9º
|
44 | 47 |
8º
|
45.5% | |
|
8º
|
46 | 46 |
9º
|
66% | |
|
10º
|
42 | 42 |
10º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
40 | 41 |
11º
|
8.5% | |
|
12º
|
40 | 41 |
12º
|
29% | |
|
13º
|
40 | 41 |
13º
|
31% | |
|
14º
|
38 | 38 |
14º
|
67.5% | |
|
15º
|
37 | 37 |
15º
|
67.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
36 | 37 |
16º
|
67.5% | |
|
17º
|
36 | 36 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
24 | 24 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kurilovec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2023 |
TRE
2 - 1
NUK
49%
23%
28%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
NUK
2 - 1
NGM
43%
24%
33%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
PON
1 - 1
NUK
60%
22%
18%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
NUK
0 - 0
SAM
27%
23%
50%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
MAK
1 - 0
NUK
76%
15%
10%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Mladost Petrinja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2023 |
NMP
1 - 2
LKV
63%
19%
18%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
HAS
7 - 1
NMP
43%
23%
34%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
NMP
3 - 3
DOO
63%
19%
19%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
NMP
3 - 3
TRE
56%
21%
24%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
NGM
4 - 2
NMP
40%
23%
37%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | -2 |