Udon United vs Surin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.3%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
20.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
8º
12º
9º
33
3º
10º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 58 |
1º
|
97.5% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 55 |
2º
|
63% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 52 |
3º
|
65.5% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 47 |
4º
|
95.5% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 44 |
5º
|
80% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 42 |
6º
|
75% | |
|
|
7º
|
33 | 39 |
7º
|
80% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 38 |
8º
|
77% | |
|
|
9º
|
29 | 35 |
9º
|
84% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 29 |
10º
|
98.5% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 26 |
11º
|
98.5% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
6 | 12 |
13º
|
99% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 2 |
14º
|
99% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Udon United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
YAS
1 - 3
UUT
20%
21%
59%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2023 |
RSU
4 - 3
UUT
60%
20%
21%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
UUT
0 - 1
MAU
50%
23%
27%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
UBR
0 - 1
UUT
42%
23%
36%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
UUT
0 - 0
SIU
37%
24%
40%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Surin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
SUR
3 - 2
KHO
22%
22%
56%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2023 |
SUR
1 - 3
MAU
35%
25%
40%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
SUR
2 - 1
SSK
80%
13%
8%
|
26 | 16 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
SUR
1 - 0
SIU
24%
24%
52%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | +2 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
MLU
2 - 1
SUR
71%
18%
11%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | -1 |