Udinese vs Parma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.6%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
20.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Udinese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2013 |
SLI
1 - 1
UDI
39%
26%
36%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
LAZ
2 - 1
UDI
45%
25%
30%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2013 |
UDI
1 - 3
SLI
58%
23%
19%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2013 |
UDI
4 - 0
SIR
66%
21%
13%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2013 |
SIR
1 - 3
UDI
28%
25%
48%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
PAR
0 - 0
CHI
53%
25%
22%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
PAR
4 - 0
LEC
66%
20%
15%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
FUL
1 - 2
PAR
58%
22%
19%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
PAL
1 - 3
PAR
50%
24%
26%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
PAR
0 - 2
BOL
53%
25%
22%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |