Udinese vs Cagliari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.6%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
16.4%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Udinese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
ATL
2 - 0
UDI
27%
26%
47%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2013 |
UDI
1 - 0
GEN
66%
21%
14%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
CHI
2 - 1
UDI
24%
26%
49%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
UDI
1 - 1
BOL
64%
22%
15%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
UDI
3 - 1
PAR
57%
23%
20%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
CAG
1 - 1
INT
30%
26%
45%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2013 |
LIV
1 - 1
CAG
42%
27%
32%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
CAG
2 - 2
SAM
53%
25%
21%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
FIO
1 - 1
CAG
67%
20%
14%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
ACM
3 - 1
CAG
75%
17%
9%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | -1 |