Sax vs Villena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.7%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.3%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
45.4%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+79%
+31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
ALC
3 - 0
UDF
40%
21%
39%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
UDF
5 - 2
AGO
43%
22%
35%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
ODI
1 - 1
UDF
52%
21%
27%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
UDF
6 - 1
CAS
53%
20%
27%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
CAM
1 - 1
UDF
45%
23%
32%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Villena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
VIL
0 - 1
ISJ
44%
22%
34%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
CDI
0 - 3
VIL
16%
21%
63%
|
22 | 12 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
VIL
2 - 2
ATL
64%
19%
17%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
CIU
1 - 2
VIL
47%
23%
31%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
VIL
3 - 1
MUT
62%
20%
18%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |