Sax vs Villena B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.2%
9.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-87%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
MON
2 - 4
UDF
8%
15%
77%
|
19 | 7 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
UDF
1 - 0
BOC
66%
18%
16%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
ONI
1 - 2
UDF
17%
20%
64%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2015 |
UDF
1 - 0
RAY
53%
21%
26%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
BEN
2 - 2
UDF
9%
16%
75%
|
18 | 7 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Villena B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
VIL
0 - 0
CAS
55%
21%
24%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
VIL
2 - 0
BEN
41%
23%
37%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
MON
1 - 1
VIL
28%
22%
51%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2015 |
VIL
0 - 1
BOC
38%
23%
39%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
ONI
1 - 1
VIL
49%
22%
30%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | +1 |