Sax vs Petrelense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.4%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.4%
22%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22%
43.6%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+68%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
MON
2 - 2
UDF
52%
22%
27%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
UDF
0 - 0
GUS
17%
19%
64%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
UNI
1 - 3
UDF
43%
22%
35%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | +2 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
UDF
2 - 2
RAF
76%
15%
10%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
ELD
1 - 1
UDF
68%
16%
15%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Petrelense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
PET
2 - 0
ALG
75%
15%
10%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
PIN
0 - 3
PET
15%
18%
67%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
PET
2 - 2
MON
52%
21%
27%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
ALB
2 - 2
PET
47%
21%
32%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
PET
1 - 0
ALG
44%
22%
34%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | +1 |