Sax vs Sporting Dolores analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.1%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.2%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.4%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.8%
7.1%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+56%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
ELD
5 - 2
UDF
30%
21%
49%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
UDF
4 - 5
RAF
82%
12%
6%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
MON
1 - 1
UDF
50%
22%
29%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2024 |
UDF
0 - 3
GUS
35%
22%
43%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
ALG
0 - 2
UDF
7%
14%
79%
|
21 | 10 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Dolores
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
SPD
2 - 3
PRV
70%
17%
14%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
SPD
4 - 1
ALG
62%
20%
18%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
UDL
0 - 3
SPD
52%
21%
27%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | +2 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
MON
2 - 0
SPD
76%
15%
9%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
SPD
1 - 1
ELD
25%
21%
53%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | 0 |