Sax vs Racing San Miguel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.6%
11.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+56%
+102%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2023 |
GUS
3 - 0
UDF
78%
13%
10%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
UDF
0 - 1
ALB
35%
22%
44%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
ALG
0 - 1
UDF
24%
21%
55%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
ELD
1 - 3
UDF
77%
13%
10%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2023 |
MON
0 - 3
UDF
74%
15%
11%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | +3 |
Matches
Racing San Miguel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
RAC
2 - 1
PRV
66%
17%
16%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
UDL
0 - 3
RAC
37%
21%
42%
|
11 | 8 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
RAC
4 - 1
SPD
50%
22%
28%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
ELD
7 - 4
RAC
89%
8%
4%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
RAC
1 - 2
RAF
42%
23%
35%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | -1 |