Sax vs Peñaraval analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.7%
Win probability
3.24
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.2%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.2%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.6%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
6%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.9%
9.9%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
9.9%
5.3%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2024 |
UDL
0 - 2
UDF
13%
16%
71%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2024 |
UDF
0 - 1
SPD
80%
13%
7%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
ELD
5 - 2
UDF
30%
21%
49%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
UDF
4 - 5
RAF
82%
12%
6%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
MON
1 - 1
UDF
50%
22%
29%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Peñaraval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2024 |
PRV
3 - 6
MON
13%
16%
71%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
PRV
0 - 0
UDL
44%
22%
35%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2024 |
PRV
0 - 1
RAC
44%
22%
34%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
SPD
2 - 3
PRV
70%
17%
14%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
PRV
2 - 3
ELD
17%
18%
65%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | 0 |