Sax vs Ayorense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.2%
Win probability
3.1
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.7%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.6%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.1%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.7%
10.4%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.4%
5.3%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
REA
1 - 1
UDF
53%
21%
25%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
UDF
3 - 0
FON
47%
21%
33%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
PET
2 - 0
UDF
51%
22%
27%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
UDF
1 - 1
PEN
62%
19%
19%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2018 |
UDF
4 - 1
OLI
20%
22%
58%
|
14 | 23 | 9 | +3 |
Matches
Ayorense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
AYO
3 - 2
VIL
43%
23%
34%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
AYO
0 - 4
MOI
14%
22%
64%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2018 |
AYO
0 - 2
IDE
10%
20%
70%
|
10 | 23 | 13 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
REA
3 - 1
AYO
82%
12%
6%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
AYO
0 - 2
FON
18%
19%
63%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | -1 |