Sax vs Muro B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.7%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
30%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
ALB
1 - 0
UDF
37%
23%
41%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
UDF
0 - 1
AYE
84%
11%
5%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | -2 |
| 03 Dec. 2015 |
PEN
2 - 2
UDF
32%
23%
45%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
UDF
5 - 0
COC
79%
13%
8%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
UDF
0 - 3
BEN
83%
11%
6%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
Muro B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
MUR
9 - 3
CAS
60%
20%
20%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
VIL
1 - 0
MUR
42%
23%
35%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2015 |
MUR
1 - 0
MON
75%
15%
10%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
BOC
2 - 3
MUR
61%
20%
19%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
MUR
2 - 1
ONI
45%
23%
32%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |