Sax vs Idella A analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.5%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
58.4%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
11%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
UDC
4 - 1
UDF
83%
11%
6%
|
13 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
SPO
3 - 1
UDF
75%
15%
10%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
LAL
1 - 1
UDF
61%
19%
20%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
MON
1 - 2
UDF
68%
18%
14%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
UDF
1 - 5
ALC
19%
19%
62%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Idella A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
IDE
5 - 0
VIL
80%
14%
6%
|
23 | 13 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
IDE
3 - 0
REA
73%
17%
10%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
FON
1 - 2
IDE
35%
24%
41%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
IDE
2 - 2
PET
85%
11%
4%
|
23 | 10 | 13 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
PEN
1 - 1
IDE
31%
26%
43%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |