Sax vs H. Nieves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.9%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
30.9%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
RAV
2 - 3
UDF
58%
20%
22%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
UDF
3 - 2
CAS
38%
22%
41%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
CDC
0 - 2
UDF
60%
20%
20%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2019 |
UDF
2 - 0
VIL
74%
15%
11%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
AYO
1 - 4
UDF
11%
17%
72%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
H. Nieves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
HON
4 - 1
MON
75%
15%
11%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
ALT
2 - 2
HON
47%
23%
30%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
HON
4 - 0
CAL
57%
20%
23%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
RAF
2 - 0
HON
33%
24%
44%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
HON
4 - 2
RAC
36%
23%
41%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | +1 |