Sax vs Castalla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.7%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.4%
26.8%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+79%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
CAM
1 - 1
UDF
45%
23%
32%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
UDF
0 - 2
CSA
34%
22%
44%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
UDF
3 - 2
ISJ
15%
18%
67%
|
15 | 23 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
UDF
3 - 2
CDI
35%
23%
43%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
ATL
5 - 3
UDF
43%
22%
35%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Castalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
CAS
1 - 4
ISJ
18%
18%
63%
|
14 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
CDI
4 - 7
CAS
44%
21%
35%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
CAS
2 - 3
ATL
35%
21%
43%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
CIU
2 - 1
CAS
74%
15%
12%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
CAS
1 - 2
MUT
43%
23%
34%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |