Sax vs Castalla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.2%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.8%
21%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
AYE
2 - 3
UDF
34%
22%
44%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
UDF
4 - 1
BOC
30%
22%
48%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2016 |
UDF
1 - 1
PEN
23%
21%
56%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
UDF
1 - 3
ALB
21%
20%
59%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
AYE
3 - 2
UDF
28%
21%
50%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Castalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
CAS
0 - 2
RAY
46%
21%
33%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
COC
1 - 8
CAS
38%
22%
41%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
CAS
1 - 2
ATM
38%
22%
40%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
VED
3 - 3
CAS
69%
17%
15%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
CAS
1 - 0
MUR
13%
18%
70%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | +1 |