Sax vs Castalla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.1%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.4%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
9%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.2%
12.7%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
VIL
3 - 0
UDF
48%
22%
30%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
BOC
1 - 2
UDF
44%
22%
35%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2016 |
RAY
5 - 4
UDF
61%
19%
20%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
UDF
0 - 0
ONI
54%
21%
25%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
UDF
3 - 1
BEN
52%
21%
27%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Castalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
BEN
2 - 0
CAS
58%
20%
22%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
CAS
2 - 4
VIL
27%
21%
52%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
MON
1 - 1
CAS
47%
22%
32%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
CAS
2 - 1
BOC
27%
21%
52%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
ONI
1 - 0
CAS
66%
18%
16%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |