Sax vs Ayelo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.6%
Win probability
3.12
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.5%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.1%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.3%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18%
11.4%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.4%
6.9%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
BOC
1 - 2
UDF
28%
21%
52%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
RAY
0 - 1
UDF
50%
21%
29%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
UDF
4 - 0
COC
87%
9%
5%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
ATM
1 - 2
UDF
28%
21%
52%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
UDF
4 - 1
BEN
64%
18%
18%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Ayelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
AYE
0 - 1
RAY
32%
22%
46%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
ATM
0 - 1
AYE
37%
22%
40%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
AYE
6 - 0
BEN
33%
22%
45%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | +2 |
| 07 Dec. 2016 |
AGU
3 - 0
AYE
80%
12%
8%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
AYE
6 - 2
BNY
50%
21%
29%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | +1 |