Sax vs Ayelo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.2%
Win probability
3.05
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.6%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.4%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.6%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
10.6%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
5%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.6%
5.2%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2015 |
PEN
2 - 2
UDF
32%
23%
45%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
UDF
5 - 0
COC
79%
13%
8%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
UDF
0 - 3
BEN
83%
11%
6%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | -2 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
CAS
3 - 3
UDF
25%
21%
54%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
UDF
1 - 2
VIL
76%
14%
10%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Ayelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
AYE
0 - 2
CAS
29%
23%
48%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
VIL
2 - 0
AYE
72%
16%
12%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
AYE
1 - 2
MON
47%
22%
31%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
BOC
5 - 0
AYE
79%
13%
8%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | -2 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
AYE
2 - 2
ONI
26%
22%
52%
|
8 | 12 | 4 | +1 |