Sax vs Atletic Muro A analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.3%
Win probability
3.24
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2%
6-0
3.3%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.4%
5-0
6%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.6%
4-0
9.3%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.1%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.1%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.5%
9.3%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.3%
4.4%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+66%
+66%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2021 |
ESI
4 - 2
UDF
15%
19%
66%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2021 |
UDF
1 - 3
MOI
67%
19%
15%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
MON
0 - 3
UDF
26%
22%
52%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
CTS
3 - 2
UDF
63%
19%
18%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
UDF
2 - 1
MOI
71%
17%
12%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Atletic Muro A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2021 |
ATL
1 - 3
MON
29%
22%
49%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
RAY
2 - 0
ATL
65%
18%
17%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
ATL
1 - 7
BEN
29%
22%
50%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
MOI
4 - 0
ATL
71%
17%
12%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | -2 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
ATL
1 - 1
VIL
7%
14%
79%
|
7 | 18 | 11 | +2 |