Sax vs Cox analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.7%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
46.5%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+68%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
SPO
1 - 1
UDF
38%
23%
39%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
UDF
1 - 3
PET
34%
22%
44%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
MON
2 - 2
UDF
52%
22%
27%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
UDF
0 - 0
GUS
17%
19%
64%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
UNI
1 - 3
UDF
43%
22%
35%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
Cox
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
CDC
1 - 2
ALG
68%
19%
13%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
PIN
2 - 2
CDC
13%
18%
69%
|
22 | 12 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
CDC
1 - 2
MON
52%
22%
25%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
ALB
1 - 3
CDC
38%
23%
39%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
CDC
1 - 1
ALG
48%
23%
29%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |