Sax vs Cox analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.9%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.3%
34.8%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+79%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
ALG
1 - 2
UDF
42%
23%
36%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
UDF
1 - 2
RAF
72%
16%
12%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
TOR
9 - 0
UDF
85%
10%
5%
|
16 | 26 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
SPO
1 - 0
UDF
24%
22%
55%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2023 |
UDF
7 - 0
UDL
69%
16%
15%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Cox
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
CDC
1 - 2
MON
22%
22%
55%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2023 |
UEC
2 - 1
CDC
79%
13%
8%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
CDC
2 - 1
ASP
32%
23%
45%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
ALG
1 - 2
CDC
55%
22%
24%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
CDC
1 - 1
RAV
30%
23%
47%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |