Sax vs Beniarres analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.7%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.1%
27.2%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-53%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
ESI
3 - 3
UDF
31%
22%
47%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
UDF
3 - 1
VED
70%
17%
14%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
UDF
0 - 4
MUR
48%
22%
30%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | -2 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
ALB
1 - 0
UDF
37%
23%
41%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
UDF
0 - 1
AYE
84%
11%
5%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | -2 |
Matches
Beniarres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
BEN
4 - 0
CAS
47%
22%
31%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
VIL
2 - 0
BEN
59%
20%
21%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
MON
2 - 3
BEN
42%
22%
36%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
BEN
0 - 3
BOC
42%
22%
35%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
ONI
0 - 0
BEN
48%
22%
30%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |