Sax vs Algorfa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
18.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+56%
+97%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2024 |
UDF
2 - 1
ELD
38%
22%
40%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
UDF
3 - 0
MON
39%
21%
40%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
PRV
0 - 1
UDF
15%
17%
68%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
UDF
4 - 1
UDL
83%
11%
6%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
SPD
1 - 3
UDF
9%
14%
77%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Algorfa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
ALG
2 - 1
PRV
68%
17%
15%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
UDL
0 - 1
ALG
16%
17%
67%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
SPD
0 - 5
ALG
12%
17%
71%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
ALG
0 - 0
ELD
39%
22%
38%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
RAF
3 - 3
ALG
41%
23%
36%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | 0 |