UDELAS vs Independiente II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
47.5%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-47%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
7º
11º
7º
34
1º
4º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
35 | 36 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
34 | 34 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 33 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
33 | 33 |
4º
|
30.5% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 31 |
5º
|
69.5% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 23 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
23 | 23 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 18 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 16 |
9º
|
48.5% | |
|
9º
|
16 | 16 |
10º
|
48.5% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 13 |
11º
|
68% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 0 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UDELAS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
UFC
1 - 0
CDU
54%
22%
24%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2023 |
ACH
1 - 2
UFC
18%
19%
63%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2023 |
UFC
0 - 0
VCD
51%
22%
27%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2023 |
AFM
2 - 3
UFC
73%
17%
10%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2023 |
UFC
2 - 3
HFC
73%
15%
12%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Independiente II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
IDC
0 - 1
AFM
52%
24%
24%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2023 |
IDC
3 - 2
CDU
73%
17%
10%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
SAP
0 - 2
IDC
15%
21%
64%
|
53 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2023 |
IDC
6 - 1
ACH
84%
12%
5%
|
53 | 30 | 23 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2023 |
VCD
4 - 1
IDC
19%
23%
59%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | -1 |