UDC Vilaboa vs Racing Castrelos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.5%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
70.1%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.9%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.9%
0-4
5%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.2%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+53%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UDC Vilaboa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
VIL
1 - 4
CUN
23%
22%
54%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2023 |
ATL
3 - 2
VIL
71%
16%
13%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
ADR
2 - 2
VIL
64%
20%
16%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
TYD
3 - 0
VIL
52%
22%
26%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
VIL
1 - 2
MAR
16%
20%
65%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Racing Castrelos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
TYD
1 - 2
CAS
33%
23%
44%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
CAS
2 - 2
MAR
45%
22%
34%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
MIN
1 - 3
CAS
58%
21%
22%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
CAS
2 - 2
CAM
35%
24%
41%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
ARC
2 - 1
CAS
40%
23%
37%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | -1 |