UDC Vilaboa vs Caldas CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.2%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
27.3%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+53%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UDC Vilaboa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
UMI
0 - 0
VIL
70%
17%
13%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
VIL
2 - 1
PUE
48%
23%
30%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
MOR
0 - 3
VIL
49%
22%
29%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | +2 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
VIL
4 - 2
PON
59%
22%
19%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
MAR
1 - 1
VIL
74%
16%
10%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Caldas CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
CAL
2 - 0
TYD
28%
23%
50%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
MAR
1 - 2
CAL
65%
19%
16%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
CAL
1 - 3
MIN
23%
22%
55%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
CAM
2 - 0
CAL
63%
21%
16%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
CAL
3 - 4
ARC
40%
24%
36%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | -1 |