Pavia U19 vs Almería U19 B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.2%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
11.3%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.2%
62.6%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
9%
2-3
5%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
3.1%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.1%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
1.6%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
12.1%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
6.6%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
8º
13º
13º
47
3º
10º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
66 | 66 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 18 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 16 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pavia U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
HIS
1 - 0
PAV
21%
20%
60%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
PAV
1 - 0
MCF
22%
21%
58%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
CDT
3 - 1
PAV
54%
21%
26%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
PAV
2 - 1
ATA
26%
21%
53%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | +2 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
CDV
4 - 2
PAV
44%
22%
34%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Almería U19 B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
UDA
2 - 0
CFR
76%
15%
10%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
LAM
5 - 1
UDA
10%
14%
76%
|
19 | 10 | 9 | -2 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
UDA
4 - 2
UCD
84%
11%
5%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
CDO
0 - 3
UDA
9%
13%
78%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
UDA
2 - 1
GRA
47%
23%
30%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | +1 |