Pavia U19 vs CD Oriente U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.3%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
17.4%
16.6%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
8º
13º
13º
18
10º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
66 | 66 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
18 | 18 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 16 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pavia U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
GRA
2 - 1
PAV
54%
20%
26%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
PAV
4 - 1
SAN
47%
21%
31%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
MAL
6 - 0
PAV
74%
15%
11%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
PAV
1 - 2
UDA
19%
18%
63%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
HIS
1 - 0
PAV
21%
20%
60%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
CD Oriente U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
CDO
1 - 1
CFR
32%
20%
47%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
LAM
3 - 1
CDO
77%
14%
9%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
CDO
1 - 0
UCD
24%
20%
56%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | +2 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
UDM
3 - 2
CDO
72%
16%
12%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
GRA
1 - 0
CDO
83%
11%
6%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | 0 |