Pavia U19 vs Atarfe Industrial U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.6%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
3%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.7%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.9%
52.5%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.7%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+35%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
9º
15º
11º
58
2º
8º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 61 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
58 | 58 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
56 | 56 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
54 | 54 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
44 | 44 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
44 | 44 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 25 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
15 | 15 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
12 | 12 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pavia U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
ELE
4 - 3
PAV
50%
21%
29%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
PAV
4 - 2
RMM
66%
17%
17%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
PAV
4 - 2
LID
58%
20%
22%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
LAC
0 - 2
PAV
81%
13%
6%
|
8 | 17 | 9 | +2 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
PAV
0 - 2
ATJ
31%
23%
47%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Atarfe Industrial U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
ATA
1 - 2
LAC
45%
23%
32%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
ATJ
1 - 3
ATA
34%
22%
44%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
ATA
2 - 2
SAN
64%
18%
18%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
GRA
3 - 1
ATA
50%
22%
28%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | -2 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
ATA
2 - 1
MAL
68%
17%
15%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | +1 |