Copa Federacion Quarter-finals
Global 2-3
UDA Gramanet vs Lorca Deportiva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.7%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
36.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UDA Gramanet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
VIJ
2 - 2
GRA
29%
28%
43%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
GRA
1 - 1
ALI
43%
28%
29%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
RCD
2 - 2
GRA
36%
26%
38%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
GRA
1 - 0
MLL
44%
26%
30%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Jan. 2010 |
MHN
2 - 1
GRA
26%
28%
47%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Lorca Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
CAR
3 - 2
LOR
16%
23%
62%
|
56 | 30 | 26 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
LOR
2 - 2
PIN
79%
14%
7%
|
56 | 31 | 25 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
LOR
5 - 0
CCS
78%
15%
7%
|
56 | 36 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
CPE
0 - 2
LOR
14%
22%
64%
|
56 | 22 | 34 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2010 |
CAL
0 - 3
LOR
9%
21%
70%
|
56 | 17 | 39 | 0 |