Villacastín Racing vs Gimnastica Ayllonesa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.1%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.5%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.6%
8.3%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+66%
+154%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villacastín Racing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
COC
1 - 1
VIL
50%
22%
28%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
VIL
2 - 1
SLO
83%
12%
6%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
CAN
0 - 1
VIL
9%
16%
74%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
VIL
2 - 0
CLA
76%
15%
9%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
SPO
2 - 2
VIL
19%
20%
61%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Gimnastica Ayllonesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
SLO
3 - 0
GIM
26%
21%
53%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
GIM
1 - 2
CLA
66%
18%
16%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
RSI
1 - 0
GIM
63%
18%
18%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
GIM
2 - 1
ESR
62%
19%
19%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
CAB
4 - 2
GIM
20%
19%
61%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | -2 |