Villacastín Racing vs Gimnastica Ayllonesa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.7%
Win probability
3.14
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.9%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.8%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.3%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.7%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.4%
10.2%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.2%
5.1%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+154%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villacastín Racing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
TUR
1 - 0
VIL
72%
16%
13%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
VIL
4 - 2
PRA
79%
13%
8%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
MOZ
3 - 2
VIL
21%
20%
59%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
VIL
4 - 1
ARC
52%
21%
28%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
CAN
1 - 0
VIL
30%
22%
48%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Gimnastica Ayllonesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
GIM
1 - 5
CAN
34%
22%
44%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
CAN
1 - 1
GIM
45%
21%
34%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
GIM
5 - 2
SPO
34%
22%
44%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2018 |
COC
2 - 0
GIM
83%
11%
6%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
GIM
2 - 0
SPO
35%
22%
43%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | +1 |