Vecindario vs Lanzarote analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
13.8%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vecindario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2012 |
VEC
3 - 0
TEL
75%
16%
9%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2012 |
EST
3 - 1
VEC
32%
25%
44%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | -2 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
VEC
5 - 1
UDG
79%
14%
8%
|
39 | 20 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
UDL
0 - 0
VEC
20%
23%
57%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
VEC
2 - 0
RSI
75%
16%
9%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Lanzarote
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
LAN
2 - 0
EST
43%
24%
33%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
UDG
0 - 3
LAN
32%
25%
43%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
LAN
1 - 2
UDL
62%
21%
17%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
RSI
1 - 0
LAN
37%
26%
36%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
LAN
2 - 2
SYS
56%
22%
23%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |