Vecindario vs RM Castilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.5%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.7%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.5%
59.9%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.6%
0-3
7%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vecindario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
MON
1 - 0
VEC
44%
25%
32%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
VEC
1 - 6
GET
36%
26%
38%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -2 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
COX
3 - 1
VEC
42%
26%
32%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2011 |
VEC
0 - 3
RVB
39%
27%
35%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | -2 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
VEC
2 - 0
ALB
19%
25%
56%
|
45 | 63 | 18 | +2 |
Matches
RM Castilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
RMC
0 - 0
ALC
77%
15%
9%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
MAR
1 - 3
RMC
21%
25%
54%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
RMC
1 - 3
OVI
68%
19%
13%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
ATB
0 - 1
RMC
33%
26%
41%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
RMC
1 - 0
LUG
61%
21%
18%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |