Vecindario vs Realejos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.5%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
18.4%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vecindario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 1999 |
DOR
2 - 0
VEC
34%
31%
35%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1999 |
MAS
1 - 0
VEC
30%
29%
41%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 1999 |
VEC
3 - 0
OLI
60%
23%
17%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 1999 |
CDT
0 - 0
VEC
53%
25%
22%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1999 |
VEC
3 - 1
GAL
41%
28%
32%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Realejos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 1999 |
REA
0 - 0
MAS
56%
24%
21%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1999 |
OLI
3 - 2
REA
44%
26%
30%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 1999 |
REA
2 - 2
CDT
33%
27%
40%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 1999 |
GAL
6 - 1
REA
60%
23%
17%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 1999 |
REA
1 - 3
VSB
57%
22%
21%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | -1 |