Vecindario vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.2%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.6%
30%
Draw
0-0
12.8%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30%
41.8%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
14.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vecindario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2007 |
CDT
0 - 2
VEC
71%
19%
11%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2007 |
SLA
2 - 3
VEC
73%
18%
10%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2007 |
VEC
2 - 1
RMC
26%
25%
49%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2007 |
MAL
3 - 2
VEC
73%
19%
9%
|
57 | 81 | 24 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2007 |
VEC
1 - 4
ELC
25%
26%
49%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2007 |
MUR
2 - 2
RMC
62%
22%
16%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2007 |
MAL
1 - 2
MUR
56%
25%
19%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2007 |
MUR
0 - 2
ELC
60%
23%
18%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2007 |
PON
1 - 1
MUR
32%
30%
38%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2007 |
MUR
1 - 0
LOR
65%
21%
14%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |