Vecindario vs Numancia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.1%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.9%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.3%
51.7%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vecindario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2006 |
ALB
3 - 2
VEC
71%
20%
9%
|
59 | 78 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2006 |
VEC
0 - 1
HER
37%
26%
37%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
VEC
0 - 1
ALA
27%
28%
45%
|
60 | 83 | 23 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
HER
1 - 0
VEC
58%
24%
18%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2006 |
VEC
4 - 2
CAS
35%
29%
36%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2006 |
NUM
0 - 1
RMC
58%
24%
18%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2006 |
NUM
1 - 1
POL
61%
23%
16%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
MAL
1 - 2
NUM
57%
24%
20%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
NUM
3 - 2
ELC
55%
25%
20%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2006 |
PON
2 - 0
NUM
20%
26%
54%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | 0 |