Vecindario vs Ibarra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.4%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
19%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
11.7%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vecindario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 1989 |
AGU
2 - 2
VEC
29%
27%
44%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1989 |
VEC
2 - 0
LLA
70%
19%
11%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 1989 |
SDT
1 - 2
VEC
40%
28%
33%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 1989 |
VEC
3 - 2
UDO
78%
16%
7%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1989 |
LAG
2 - 1
VEC
25%
28%
48%
|
33 | 19 | 14 | -2 |
Matches
Ibarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 1989 |
UDI
0 - 1
LPA
47%
27%
26%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1989 |
UDI
2 - 0
COR
51%
26%
24%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 1989 |
AGU
1 - 1
UDI
43%
25%
32%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1989 |
UDI
0 - 0
LLA
54%
24%
22%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1989 |
SDT
3 - 2
UDI
51%
25%
24%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | -1 |