Vecindario vs Hesperides analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.3%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.2%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.9%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.5%
2-0
14%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
11.7%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11.7%
5%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vecindario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2014 |
SPM
1 - 0
VEC
24%
25%
51%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2014 |
VEC
1 - 1
CDG
80%
14%
7%
|
23 | 13 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2014 |
HUR
4 - 0
VEC
9%
19%
72%
|
26 | 9 | 17 | -3 |
| 11 Sep. 2014 |
VEC
0 - 1
UDS
67%
19%
15%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
REA
1 - 0
VEC
16%
22%
62%
|
29 | 16 | 13 | -3 |
Matches
Hesperides
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2014 |
HES
2 - 1
UDL
32%
23%
45%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2014 |
UPR
1 - 0
HES
81%
13%
6%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2014 |
SPM
2 - 2
HES
79%
14%
7%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2014 |
HES
2 - 2
CDG
28%
23%
50%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |