Vecindario vs CD Toledo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.3%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
23.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vecindario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
CER
0 - 1
VEC
53%
23%
23%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
VEC
0 - 0
ULP
35%
28%
37%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
CDT
4 - 1
VEC
40%
27%
34%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2010 |
LAN
3 - 1
VEC
33%
26%
41%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | -2 |
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
VEC
1 - 1
SPB
59%
22%
19%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
CD Toledo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
CDT
4 - 2
ULP
26%
28%
46%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
LAN
2 - 1
CDT
54%
23%
23%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2010 |
CDT
1 - 0
VIL
51%
25%
24%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
GIM
0 - 1
CDT
63%
21%
16%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
CDT
0 - 1
RMC
22%
25%
53%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | 0 |