Vecindario vs Agaete analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.9%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.4%
8.6%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vecindario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2003 |
CDT
1 - 1
VEC
41%
27%
32%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2003 |
VEC
4 - 0
LAG
77%
16%
7%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2003 |
VEC
3 - 0
UDL
71%
17%
12%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2002 |
SDT
2 - 0
VEC
27%
27%
47%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2002 |
VEC
3 - 1
VTZ
70%
18%
12%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Agaete
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2003 |
AGA
3 - 0
TEG
39%
25%
36%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2003 |
GAL
2 - 2
AGA
69%
18%
14%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Dec. 2002 |
CDT
2 - 0
AGA
70%
18%
12%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2002 |
AGA
1 - 0
LAG
45%
26%
29%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2002 |
UDL
1 - 1
AGA
66%
19%
15%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | +1 |