Toresana vs Cacabelense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
15.1%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
+104%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toresana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 1982 |
TOR
1 - 0
CAB
60%
23%
17%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1982 |
VAL
1 - 0
TOR
75%
16%
9%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Dec. 1981 |
TOR
3 - 2
MED
68%
19%
13%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 1981 |
TOR
3 - 0
SAL
49%
26%
25%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | +2 |
| 13 Dec. 1981 |
LAG
2 - 1
TOR
47%
27%
26%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Cacabelense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 1982 |
LAG
4 - 2
CAC
43%
26%
32%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1982 |
CAC
2 - 0
BEN
60%
21%
19%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Dec. 1981 |
CDG
4 - 1
CAC
57%
23%
21%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 1981 |
CAC
2 - 0
AST
52%
25%
24%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 1981 |
ACF
1 - 1
CAC
77%
15%
8%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | +1 |