Toresana vs Santa Croya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.7%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
2%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
0.1%
+2
6.4%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.5%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
18.5%
58.8%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
5.5%
3-4
1.8%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
3.4%
3-5
0.9%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
17%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
1.7%
3-6
0.4%
4-7
0.1%
-3
11.2%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
6%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+70%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toresana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
CDN
6 - 0
TOR
87%
8%
5%
|
9 | 25 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
TOR
3 - 2
SPO
39%
21%
40%
|
8 | 10 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
TOR
0 - 3
FRE
15%
17%
68%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
BOV
3 - 2
TOR
39%
21%
40%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
TOR
1 - 4
VIL
38%
21%
41%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Santa Croya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
SAN
4 - 1
SAC
72%
14%
14%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
GCE
4 - 0
SAN
77%
14%
10%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
SAN
12 - 0
SAN
77%
12%
11%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | +2 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
CDN
3 - 2
SAN
83%
10%
7%
|
12 | 24 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
SAN
3 - 2
SPO
56%
19%
26%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | +1 |